Week 1: 12-4
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 10-6
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 6-7
Week 8: 12-4 Spread 11-2-3
Titans 3-4 @ Steelers 4-3 PITT -2.5
Taking TD machine Will Levis on the road four days after his debut to tackle the Steelers defense seems like a tall order. Pitts offense is unreliable but I think they win a snoozer.
Pick: Steelers cover
Dolphins 6-2 @ Chiefs 6-2 KC-1.5
The best Europe game yet. Frankfurt will get a banger and the best game of the week. Picking this is impossible but the Dolphins are spending the week in Frankfurt and KC is heading out about 24 hours ahead of time with Mahomes coming off the flu. I’m going Dolphins.
Pick: Dolphins
Vikings 4-4 @ Falcons 4-4 ATL -4
The BYU rookie QB vs Heineke. What a barn burner. Atlanta is still splitting Bijan carries for some reason and I’m not sure Heineke is the answer at QB. If Hall sucks at QB for the Vikings I have no idea what they offense is doing. They still can’t run. The defense is looking better though.
Pick: Falcons, Vikes cover
Cardinals 1-7 @ Browns 4-3 CLE -8
Woof. Who are the QBs in this game again?
Pick: Browns cover
Rams 3-5 @ Packers 2-5 GB-2.5
The bad games continue. Stafford might be on a laundry list of injuries for the Ram. I guess I’ll go home team and the Rams to cover
Pick: Green Bay, Rams cover
Commanders 3-5 @ Patriots 2-6 NE-3
Washington has traded away the defense and takes the show on the road to the Pats who hung around with the Fins last week. Commanders offense might still be enough to win. Howell put a 4 Td almost 400 yard game together against the Eagles last week. The stripped defense doesn’t just solve the Pats offensive woes.
Pick: Washington
Bears 2-6 @ Saints 4-4 NO-8.5
With no Justin Fields this should be the Saints game but I don’t like New Orleans. They’re losers at home. They’ve beat Titans, Panthers, Pats, Colts, none are playoff teams right now. Derek Carr is leading the #9 passing offense but doesn’t look good. If Fields was back I could feel an upset.
Pick: Saints, Bears cover
Seahawks 5-2 @ Ravens 6-2 BAL-6
Baltimore at home is tough to bet against with the weird Colts OT game the only one this season. The defense gave up points to the Cards last week but has been stingy otherwise. I think they’re able to pressure Geno who isn’t performing at the level he was last season.
Pick: Ravens cover
Buccaneers 3-4 @ Texans 3-4 HOU-3
Struggling out of the bye I think the Texans bounce back here. The defense can do some things and Baker is banged up for the Bucs.
Pick: Texans cover
Colts 3-5 @ Panthers 1-6 IND-2.5
Indy is banged up on both sides of the ball. Panthers have signs of life and the tough start was expected so moral is high after last week. The Colts are giving up a lot of point and I think the Panthers are next in line.
Pick: Panthers
Giants 2-6 @ Raiders 3-5 LV-1.5
Raiders should have new energy with Aiden O Connell at QB and Antonio Perce coaching. Giants are down more guys with Tyrod Taylor and Darren Waller hitting IR. Daniel Jones might be back but I don’t think it matters.
Pick: Raiders cover
Cowboys 5-2 @ Eagles 7-1 PHI-3
The Eagles have issues but Dallas is 2-2 on the road and still has to show they can beat a playoff team. AJ Brown has been an MVP level player so far averaging 117 yards-per-game at 15.6ypc. A win either way is a statement.
Pick: Eagles cover
Bills 5-3 @ Bengals 4-3
If you took the QB off either of these teams and replaced them with an “average” QB is either above .500? Burrow is playing at a high level and Buffalo has a losing record on the road. The Bills are looking less convincing with a Pats loss, a 5 point Giants win and a 6 point Bucs win in the last three. The Bengals played Seattle tight and blew out the Cardinals and 49ers last week.
Pick: Bengals cover
Chargers 3-4 @ Jets 4-3 LAC-3.5
LA rolled the Bears last week in an effort to save the season. They’re losing to good teams and beating the bad squads. So where do the Jets fit in? Three straight wins including the Eagles only loss and two road wins over the Broncos and Giants. Zach Wilson will have an opportunity to move an awful offense against a struggling defense. Herbert will have to carry a horrid run game on his back and throw against a great secondary. I’m taking the better QB but not the cover.
Pick: Chargers, Jets cover