Week 1: 12-4
Week 2: 10-6
Week 3: 10-6
Week 4: 10-6
Week 5: 7-7
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 6-7
Week 8: 12-4 Spread 11-2-3
Week 9: 11-3 Spread 9-5-0
Week 10: 8-6  Spread 9-4-1
Week 11: 11-3 Spread 7-6-1
Week 12: 10-6 Spread 7-8-1
Week 13: 9-4 Spread 5-8
Week 14: 9-6 Spread 7-7
Week 15: 10-6 Spread 9-7

Thursday
Saints 7-7 @ Rams 7-7 LAR-4
LA has won 4 of 5 and surging with health. The Saints have two straight blowouts over the Giants and Panthers. Derek Carr looks poor but the defense is still stout. I think they hang in.
Pick: Rams, Saints cover

Saturday
Bengals 8-6 @ Steelers 7-7 CIN-2.5
Three straight wins for the Bengals. Three straight losses for the Steelers. Mason Rudolph will be taking snaps for Pit this week but he isn’t the solution for their woes. Browning is piloting a very efficient offense right now.
Pick: Bengals cover

Sunday

Bills 8-6 @ Chargers 5-9 BUF-11.5
This line is outrageous…..right? Good lord did the Chargers embarrass themselves against the Raiders. I’m not sure a coach change and Allen returning will make a huge difference. The Bills found a ground game for the first time in years.
Pick: Bills cover

Colts 8-6 @ Falcons 6-8 ATL-1
The Falcons red zone defense has been solid but the team is a mess. The Colts have been coached well and they’re 5-2 on the road. The Colts stifled the Bengals and Steelers the past two weeks. They should be able to get a handle on the Falcons.
Pick: Colts

Seahawks 7-7 @ Titans 5-9 SEA-3
Drew Lock pull out a huge win against the Eagles on MNF. Titans might be without Will Levis who was rocked last week.
Pick: Seahawks cover

Lions 10-4 @ Vikings 7-7 DET-3.5
The pass rush was all over Russell Wilson last week for Detroit. The Lions are 5-2 on the road and will have an opportunity to push for the #1 seed in the NFC here. Vikes have lost 3 of 4. The lone win…..3-0 over the Raiders. The defense is legit but the offense is bad.
Pick: Lions, Vikings cover

Commanders 4-10 @ Jets 5-9 NYJ-3
Gross. 37.5 O/U and I’m struggling to find the over. Lets go with the better defense at home.
Pick: Jets cover

Packers 6-8 @ Panthers 2-12 GB-5
52 degrees in Charlotte and probably clear….of fans. Can they win a game that isn’t in the rain?
Pick: Packers cover

Browns 9-5 @ Texans 8-6 CLE-2.5
CJ Stroud doubtful again. Hard to go with Case Keenum seeing the Joe Flacco success, even behind a backup offensive line.
Pick: Browns cover

Jaguars 8-6 @ Buccaneers 7-7 TB-1
Baker had one of the best QB games of the season last week. The Bucs have won three straight and two on the road. The Jags are a shocking 5-1 on the road but losers of three straight. All three of those opponents (Bengals, Browns, Ravens) are probably more challenging than any of the Bucs past three wins (Panthers, Falcons, Packers). Both teams need wins to stay in their division and playoff picture. I still have more belief in the Bucs than the Jags at this point with the offensive woes of Jacksonville.
Pick: Bucs cover

Cardinals 3-11 @ Bears 5-9 CHI-4.5
This line looks large but really might be too small with the talent discrepancy between these two teams. The Cards can run some now but Marques Brown is questionable and probably will be with the rest of the way with the season in question. Let’s go Bears.
Pick: Bears cover

Cowboys 10-4 @ Dolphins 10-4 MIA-1.5
Fingers crossed for a great game. Hopefully Tyreek Hill is back and we don’t get a lopsided matchup either way. Both of these teams have high expectations and it would be a shame if they don’t finish strong and each win a game in the playoffs. Fins are 6-1 away. Boys are 3-4 on the road.
Pick: Dolphins cover

Patriots 3-11 @ Broncos 7-7 DEN-7
Barf for SNF. I think the Pats cover and maybe win. These defenses are both good and Denver’s offense isn’t that great. A weird play could make things interesting.
Pick: Broncos, Pats cover

Monday

Raiders 6-8 @ Chiefs 9-5 KC-10
Mahomes might start to throw balls to himself soon. No way they cover.
Pick: KC, Raiders cover

Giants 5-9 @ Eagles 10-4 PHI-12
WTF is this line now? The Eagles poor coordinating is well documented during this losing skid and poor performances this season. The Giants would have a Merry Christmas if they pull an upset.
Pick: Eagles, Giants cover

Ravens 11-3 @ 49ers 11-3 SF-5.5
Health is important for a Super Bowl run and the 49ers are maintaining while the Ravens are banged up again. 5.5 is high but that might not be enough. While you can’t trust the Eagles, Cowboys, Dolphins at all times, SF is now a sludge hammer. I love Lamar Jackson and he’ll have to have a big day in what could be a QB MVP battle.
Pick: 49ers cover